Are great strategic thinkers born or made? The answer turns out to be
“yes.” Yes, individuals sit somewhere on a spectrum of innate talent
and yes, you can develop that talent.
The implication for organizations is that they must find ways to
identify and cultivate future leaders with the capacity to think
strategically. The implication for the individual leader is that it is
pointless to worry about nature versus nurture. Both matter, but there
isn’t much you can do at this point on the nature side. You should focus
on nurturing the talent you have.
Approaches to develop your strategic thinking ability include:
Immersion. Total immersion is the best way to learn a
new language. It’s the best way to figure out complex business
environments, too. Immersion is important because people need
significant “soak time” in a milieu in order to build powerful mental
models. Note to talent development professionals: This insight also
highlights the dangers of moving people too rapidly from business to
business or job to job, because there isn’t time to master the core
dynamics of each new situation.
Apprenticeships. As with most arts, one of the best
ways to learn to think strategically is to work closely with masters in
apprenticeship-like relationships. These provide low-risk environments
in which novices can observe and learn from the work of masters and so
absorb their ways of thinking.
Simulations. Business simulations are a great tool for
developing intuition about interactions among the variables that drive
organizational performance. They provide a “manageably complex”
environment within which managers can safely experiment and gain insight
into cause-effect relationships. Unlike the real world, you also can
“wind things back” and try again if they don’t work the first time.
Game-theory training. Game theory is the study of
“games” involving intelligent actors with conflicting interests who can
make moves and countermoves that yield specific potential payoffs. It’s
easy to be put off by game theory because the detail involves lots of
mathematics which can’t be applied in many real-world situations. But
they’re great ways to imagine situations and how you might behave in
them.
Case-based education. You can accelerate the
development of your strategic thinking by exposing yourself to a diverse
range of realistic “cases” and letting yourself reflect on the
experiences so you can absorb the lessons. Research suggests that this
sort of exposure to distillations of reality is particularly powerful
when it involves comparisons of cases that are similar but involve a few
key distinctions that drive significant differences in outcomes.
Cognitive reshaping. This literally means doing mental
exercises that create new habits of mind. One example is the “go to the
balcony” exercise proposed by William Ury in his negotiation book Getting Past No.
Ury advises negotiators to discipline themselves, regardless of how
tense and difficult the proceedings, to periodically take a step back
and “go to the balcony” in order to get perspective on what is happening
and why, and adjust strategies accordingly. It’s a great way to develop
your ability to move across levels of abstraction.
Written by Michael Watkins
Michael Watkins is the cofounder of Genesis Advisors, and author of the new, updated and expanded edition of The First 90 Days:Proven Strategies for Getting Up to Speed Faster and Smarter.